我正在努力在 R 中重现 OxMetrics(Ox Professional 版本 7.10)的一些结果,但我很难弄清楚我在 R 中得到了正确的规范。我不希望得到相同的估计,但应该有一些相似的估计是可能的(有关 OxMetrics 和 R 的估计,请参见下文)。
这里的任何人都可以帮我弄清楚我如何做 OxMetrics 在 R 中所做的事情吗?
我试过使用forecast::arfima
, forecast::Arima
,fracdiff::fracdiff
和arfima::arfima
到目前为止,我最接近后者。
下面是数据和代码,
打击结果来自使用最大似然估计的 OxMetrics ARFIMA(2,0,2) 模型和使用包中的 R arfima
(arfima
代码打击较长的数据字符串)。
OxMetrics R (using arfima()]
AR 1.41763 1.78547
AR -0.51606 -0.79782
MA -0.89892 -0.08406
MA 0.30821 0.48083
Constant -0.09382 -0.09423
y <- c(-0.0527281830620101, -0.0483283435220523,
-0.0761110069836706, -0.0425588714546148,
-0.0629789511239869, -0.118944956578757,
-0.156545103342326, -0.138106089421937,
-0.107335059908618, -0.145013381825552,
-0.100753517322066, -0.0987268545186417,
-0.0454663306471916, -0.0404439816954447,
-0.110574863632305, -0.0933955365797221,
-0.0915045759209185, -0.110397691370645,
-0.0944201704700927, -0.121257467376357,
-0.109785472344257, -0.0890776818684245,
-0.0554059943242384, -0.0700566531543618,
-0.0366694695635905, -0.0687369752462432,
-0.0651380598746858, -0.134224646388692,
-0.0670924768348229, -0.0835771023087037,
-0.0709997877276756, -0.116003735777656,
-0.0794873243023737, -0.067057402058551,
-0.0698663891865543, -0.0511133873895728,
-0.0513203609998669, -0.0894001277309737,
-0.0398284483421012, -0.0514468502511471,
-0.0599700163953942, -0.0661889418696937,
-0.079516218903545, -0.0685966077135509,
-0.0861445337428064, -0.0923966209966709,
-0.133444703431511, -0.131567692883267,
-0.127157375630663, -0.136327904368355,
-0.102133208996487, -0.109453799095327,
-0.103333580486325, -0.0982528240902063,
-0.139243862997714, -0.112067682286408,
-0.0741501704478233, -0.0885574830826608,
-0.0819203358523941, -0.0891168040724528,
-0.0331415164887199, -0.038039022334333,
0.000471320939768205, -0.0250547289467331,
-0.0411983586070352, -0.0463752713008887,
-0.0184870766950889, -0.0318185253129144,
-0.0623828610377037, -0.0718563679309012,
-0.0635702270765757, -0.0929728977267059,
-0.0894248292570765, -0.0919046741661464,
-0.0844700793317346, -0.112800098282505,
-0.141344968548085, -0.127965917566584,
-0.143980868315393, -0.154901662762077,
-0.130634570152671, -0.150417664726561,
-0.163723312802416, -0.146099566906346,
-0.14837251795191, -0.144887288973472,
-0.14232221415307, -0.142825446351853,
-0.158838097005599, -0.14340614330986,
-0.118935233992604, -0.109627188482776,
-0.120889714109902, -0.119484146944083,
-0.0950435556738212, -0.134667374330086,
-0.155051119642286, -0.134094795193097,
-0.128627607285988, -0.133954472488274,
-0.119286541395138, -0.135714339904381,
-0.0903767618937357, -0.109592987693797,
-0.0770998518949151, -0.108375176935532,
-0.136901231908067, -0.0856673865524131,
-0.108854388315838, -0.0708359081737591,
-0.106961434062811, -0.0429126711978416,
-0.0550592121225453, -0.0715845951018634,
-0.0509376225313689, -0.0570175197192393,
-0.0724229547086495, -0.0867303057832318,
-0.089712447506396, -0.125158029708487,
-0.122260116350003, -0.0905629436620448,
-0.090357598491857, -0.097173095034008,
-0.0674973361276239, -0.12411935716644,
-0.0957789729967162, -0.088838044599159,
-0.110065127067576, -0.108172925482296)
# install.packages(c("arfima"), dependencies = TRUE)
# library(arfima)
arfima::arfima(y, order = c(2, 0, 2))